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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 93% (108–8, n=116) | 51% (28209–27250, n=55459) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $14.9M | $118K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #564 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 58% (42 of 72 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 66% (47 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 113 at avg 94¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 0% | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 2% (won 100% of 2) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 98% (won 98% of 111) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.8K | — | Under $20K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.2K | — | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | — | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | — | Under $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $229 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $72 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $60 | — | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | — | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | Clement Tabur $64K | Clement Tabur $27K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Wizards vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $3.9K | Pistons $201 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $872 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $44 | — | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Under $67 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $41 | — | Under $801 |