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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HRAImail-.- | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | no settled market | 43% (129–174, n=303) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | — | $115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #447 | PM monthly #37 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (54 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 7 at avg 36¢, ROI +76% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 6% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 42% (won 100% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 61) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 12% (won 100% of 18) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HRAImail-.- | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $19K | — | Heat $22K |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | — | Knicks $565 |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.2K | — | Knicks $35K |
| Celtics vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $25K | — | 76ers $11K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $17K | — | Under $799 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | — | Celtics $3.4K |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Knicks $1.9K | — | Bucks $90 |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $13K | — | Marcos Giron $16K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6.2K | — | Over $16K |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $18K | — | Bucks $480 |
| Western Michigan vs. Akron same side · consensus Western Michigan | Akron $10K | — | Akron $74 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks same side · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | — | Bucks $790 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $4.7K | — | Magic $434 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | — | Miami (OH) $3.2K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $222 | — | Kent State $1.4K |