Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplaywesting.v1
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)75% (594–196, n=790)40% (2–3, n=5)40% (2–3, n=5)
Consensus PnL-$411K$19K$391K-$268
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #13PM monthly #17was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)65% (149 of 231 open)100% (1 of 1 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)0%—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)19% (won 70% of 10)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)76% (won 85% of 41)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)6% (won 100% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplaywesting.v1
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.9KMagic $201——
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $4.7KKings $2——
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $410—Panthers $83
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $1.2K—Bucks $77K—
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $40KHeat $6.2K——
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $37KBucks $12——
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $17KOver $5——
Bucks vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Bucks $8.5KBucks $20——
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $3.8K76ers $45——
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $276ers $1.3K——
Capitals vs. Senators
same side · consensus Capitals
—Capitals $130—Capitals $131
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Jazz $32Jazz $225——
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $12Jazz $222——
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $70Miami (OH) $35——