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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRene22RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)56% (5–4, n=9)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$7.0K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24was PM monthly #672PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)72% (169 of 235 open)33% (2 of 6 open)52% (16 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRene22RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $68KTommy Paul $11K—Tommy Paul $31K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $51K—No $650—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $740—Tereza Valentova $760
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
—Carl Overbeck $625—Kasidit Samrej $107
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $7.6K—Anna Blinkova $47K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
—Magda Linette $5.0K—Magda Linette $8.5K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8KYes $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $135—Yes $966—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $48—Yes $702—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Melios Efstathiou $236—Melios Efstathiou $286
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42