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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1vavwqevw
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M$93K
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #317
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)79% (210 of 267 open)66% (97 of 148 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%67% of 3 at avg 76¢, ROI −10%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)33% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)0%
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

62 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1vavwqevw
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23KNo $39KNo $19K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.3KUnder $6—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96KNo $56KNo $30K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $51KNo $20K—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KYes $57KYes $41K—
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311No $7.3KNo $918—
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43No $3.3KNo $166—
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25PFK CSKA Sofia $1.9KPFK CSKA Sofia $43—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $69KSport Lisboa e Benfica $20K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $8.4KBayer 04 Leverkusen $352—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.7KOver $4—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.2KYes $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $4.5K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.6K—Under $11—
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.9KYes $248—
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $2.3K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.1KUnder $81—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.8KYes $6—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $648Over $2.9K—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $414—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $57—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.1KYes $460—
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
—SC União Torreense $231Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $63—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $32—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $829Over $185—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600No $300—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $89Yes $594—
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $257No $374—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440Warriors $143—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $432Over $12—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $413Over $10—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $321—Yes $18—
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
—Juventus FC $49AZ $89—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $47Yes $27—
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $20No $46—
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $33—
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $25Under $3—
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $8—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225KYes $53K——
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $36KYes $28K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $29KYes $13K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $27KNo $4.5K—