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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpPan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)65% (4155–2192, n=6347)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10was PM monthly #983PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)69% (129 of 186 open)59% (93 of 158 open)55% (45 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

69 on the same side, 52 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpPan9XRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $45K—Jaguars $223Jaguars $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K—Jaguars $17Jaguars $1.2K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.9KFranco Roncadelli $3Thiago Seyboth Wild $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $73No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $53Over $1.6K
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7KUtah $526Canadiens $76—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499No $252—
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
opposite sides · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $1.3KRice Owls $13—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Under $2Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $80Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $105Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $60Under $1.3K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $412Canucks $2Canucks $867
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $112No $529
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $153Oilers $46Oilers $675
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $79Heat $8Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428Warriors $28Warriors $110
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $27Under $64Under $353
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $37Under $630
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $12Under $326
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $40Warriors $97
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Red Wings $19Red Wings $25Red Wings $253
Flyers vs. Rangers
same side · consensus Rangers
—Flyers $84Flyers $60Flyers $98
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $158Under $31Under $13
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $18Canucks $13Canucks $95
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $28Over $30Over $9
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K—Florida Atlantic $116—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $85Over $1.5K
Buffalo Bulls vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers
—Buffalo Bulls $1.0KPittsburgh Panthers $212—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $10
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $678
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 3 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $535—No $343
Georgia State Panthers vs. Charlotte 49ers
opposite sides · consensus Charlotte 49ers
—Georgia State Panthers $627Charlotte 49ers $118—
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Bruins $716Penguins $28—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $681Maria Sakkari $12—
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marist Red Foxes
opposite sides · consensus Marist Red Foxes
—Marist Red Foxes $646UMBC Retrievers $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361Over $154—
Cornell Big Red vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $428Cornell Big Red $5—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $211—Over $71
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $239Islanders $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $213Over $6—
Spread: Devils (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Devils $186Blues $33—
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $163Over $50—
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Devils $188Blues $15—
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $130Under $59—
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $166
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131—Yes $33