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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 76% (28–9, n=37) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $190K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #470 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (12 of 20 open) | 63% (260 of 412 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 66% (169 of 255 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 83% of 36 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 42% (won 67% of 15) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 33% (won 92% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 14% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
86 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $5.4K | Laura Samson $596 | — | Carole Monnet $9.0K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $86K | No $100K | — | No $4.3K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Matteo Berrettini $22K | Matteo Berrettini $7.9K | — | Matteo Berrettini $14K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $15K | — | No $5.3K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $251 | Under $40 | — | Under $379 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Alex Michelsen $3.9K | — | — | Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $129 | — | No $12K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $334 | — | No $7.6K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $484 | — | Under $7.1K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $506 | — | No $5.4K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | — | Olympiakós SFP $32 |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | Yes $2.9K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Alice Tubello $3.1K | — | Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Arthur Fils $3.4K | — | Tomas Machac $1.2K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.8K | — | Over $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $626 | — | Over $2.8K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $163 | — | No $2.9K |
| FC Porto leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | Yes $550 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.0K | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $645 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.8K | — | Under $22 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $78 | — | No $1.4K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $370 | — | Under $1.0K |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $10 | — | Solana Sierra $1.4K |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $215 | — | Over $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $677 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | Bucks $251 | — | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6 | — | Over $670 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $237 | — | Hawks $430 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $357 | — | — | Under $278 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $325 | — | Thunder $273 |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $496 | — | Over $7 |
| W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin | — | Oceane Dodin $281 | — | Eva Bennemann $99 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | Anna Siskova $274 | — | Marie Weckerle $55 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $202 | — | Grizzlies $119 |
| Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $236 | — | No $27 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $125 | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $116 | — | Over $86 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21 | — | No $132 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $30 | — | Wizards $94 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $50 | — | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $111 |
| Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $73 | — | No $28 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $26 | — | No $15 |