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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankce1lvc9ew66Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)82% (129–28, n=157)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$21K$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #791PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)82% (23 of 28 open)no open consensus position77% (327 of 424 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Esports −1 pts, n=142Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%30% of 150 at avg 30¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)52% (won 8% of 78)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)26% (won 33% of 39)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 73% of 26)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 7)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankce1lvc9ew66Flaznorp
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28——No $110K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $45K——
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10——No $37K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $304——Yes $27K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K——Yes $14K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.2K——Yes $12K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $215K——Yes $19K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $165K——Taylor Fritz $14K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $89K——No $31K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K——No $44K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $37K——Under $3.9K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K——No $33K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $17K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $573——Yes $13K
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $71——No $6.5K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.2K——Over $3.5K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $206——No $4.6K