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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | JudgeLance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (47–44, n=91) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $7.7M | -$49K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #515 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (18 of 38 open) | 77% (47 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NBA −11 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 73 at avg 61¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 1% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 5% (won 50% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 68% (won 56% of 50) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 25% (won 89% of 18) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | JudgeLance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $374K | Yes $115K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $17K | Under $208K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $83K | Giants $67K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Texans $428 | Chargers $104K | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $34K | Yes $16K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $16K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $377K | Giants $190K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $19K | Giants $37K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $34K | Chiefs $21K | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | Colts $3.0K | Colts $49K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $17 | No $28K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — |