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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | JudgeLance | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 52% (48–45, n=93) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | -$49K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #508 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (22 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NBA −11 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 73 at avg 61¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 5% (won 50% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 68% (won 56% of 50) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 25% (won 89% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | JudgeLance | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini same side · consensus Luisina Giovannini | Tatjana Maria $12K | — | — | Tatjana Maria $10K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |