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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | hqb.prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 75% (594–196, n=790) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $779K | $19K | $3 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #647 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 66% (140 of 212 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | hqb.prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | Magic $201 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $4.7K | — | Kings $2 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Knicks $965 | — | Bucks $141 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $153 | 76ers $864 | — |
| Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios same side · consensus Juan Pablo Varillas | Tomas Barrios $39K | — | Tomas Barrios $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | — | Bucks $12 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $17K | — | Heat $6.2K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $17K | — | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $340 | Celtics $202 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $32 | — | Jazz $225 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $12 | — | Jazz $222 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | — | Miami (OH) $35 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $9 | Celtics $11 | — |