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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCryptoSlonFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)55% (21–17, n=38)96% (291–13, n=304)no settled market51% (42–40, n=82)
Consensus PnL-$212K$8.4M—$60K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #1was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus66% (21 of 32 open)84% (37 of 44 open)100% (4 of 4 open)74% (182 of 247 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCryptoSlonFlaznorp
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $70KGrizzlies $188K—Raptors $1.9K
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg $35K——Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $28K——
Pelicans vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $27K——Pelicans $667
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $18KBills $8.7K——
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $1.7K——Rockets $130
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $1.1K——Rockets $111
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $237K—Bills $79
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $26No $41K——
Lima: Miguel Tobon vs Henrique Rocha
same side · consensus Henrique Rocha
Henrique Rocha $30K——Henrique Rocha $1.9K
WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Elina Svitolina
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva $60——Mirra Andreeva $18K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.1K——Yes $2.7K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $4.6K——Billy Harris $1.7K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $79——Nuggets $3.1K
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $891—Lakers $863