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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (3066–1599, n=4665)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$207K$3.3M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (15 of 21 open)73% (149 of 205 open)no open consensus position54% (14 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $456No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.1KUnder $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $455Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $75No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $600Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $981Yes $466—No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380No $831—Yes $61
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $755Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $14K—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $439Under $102—Under $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $652Over $1.0K——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $519No $548——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $289——Over $360
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $625Yes $2.6K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $861—Quentin Halys $1.3K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $225——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $411——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42