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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | gmpm2 | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (322–94, n=416) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $779K | -$6.1K | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #692 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #124 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (94 of 140 open) | 52% (11 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 7) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 12) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 100% of 36) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | gmpm2 | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Kings $1.1K | Kings $76 | — | Magic $76K |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $447 | Clippers $19K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $5.8K | — | — | Jazz $13K |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $2.3K | Clippers $298 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $2.2K | Celtics $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Kings $703 | Kings $7.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Clippers $12 | Clippers $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $5.3K | Celtics $411 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Magic | Kings $48 | Kings $5.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $4.4K | Celtics $11 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $2.2K | Celtics $291 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.6K | Celtics $744 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $7 | Kings $243 | — | — |