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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1eae27fbc5e6a2f82bdd732bd1d2e0922648c2abBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #704PM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)70% (231 of 331 open)59% (149 of 253 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 7 at avg 81¢, ROI +22%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 52 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1eae27fbc5e6a2f82bdd732bd1d2e0922648c2abBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19KPelicans $805Pelicans $135
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $880Celtics $1.3KBucks $765
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357Pacers $302Grizzlies $123
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $323Jazz $280Pelicans $143
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $218KPacers $3.0K—
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $90K76ers $6.3K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $30K—Pelicans $125
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $14KBucks $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $60Central Michigan $12K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $11KOver $247
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Bucks $4.0KCeltics $485
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt
——Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2KMax Wiskandt $1.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $301No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.3KNo $343
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $2.2KCeltics $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $274Under $1.7K
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
——Maxwell McKennon $849Mauricio Echazu $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $1.6KBucks $57
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $23
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Bulls $1.4KKnicks $158
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.5KNo $4
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $23
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $138
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
——Senators $66Sabres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KOver $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $988Bulls $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $751Under $8
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $664Under $87
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $568Over $46
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $78Over $535
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $555Bulls $16
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $330Over $235
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Grizzlies $327Pacers $180
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Cavaliers $200Thunder $270
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $362Under $106
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $429Over $6
Will Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $380Yes $26
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $314Pistons $49
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Nuggets $182Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8Over $278
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Lakers $28Kings $250
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Suns $124Trail Blazers $99
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $43Under $169
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $128Over $85
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $100Over $2