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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0805260x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (41–49, n=90)75% (596–198, n=794)40% (2–3, n=5)
Consensus PnL$15-$451K$19K$391K
Tracked asPM monthly #729PM monthly #11PM monthly #13PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus82% (18 of 22 open)55% (11 of 20 open)59% (130 of 222 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 72¢, ROI +28%63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢0%15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)19% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢0%29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)76% (won 85% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)6% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0805260x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplay
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $127KMagic $192Kings $56K
San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $31KSan Diego Toreros $156—
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $5.9KMagic $835—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KUnder $86K
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $50KHeat $7.2K—
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $6.5KCeltics $33K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Jazz $17KJazz $747—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Ohio
—Miami (OH) $17KMiami (OH) $12—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
same side · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $13KFURIA $12—
Clippers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.5KSuns $5.9K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—76ers $276ers $860—
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $6Jazz $375—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Jazz $29Jazz $323—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—76ers $7376ers $44—