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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRhabarberbarbarbarRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)59% (271–185, n=456)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$74K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #56was PM monthly #982PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)44% (4 of 9 open)58% (56 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%57% of 375 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)18% (won 8% of 66)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 421)40% (won 45% of 151)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 508)8% (won 63% of 30)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)34% (won 95% of 128)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRhabarberbarbarbarRN1
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $5.1K—Cowboys $1.6K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.3K—Under $974
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.1K—Over $967
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.1K—Over $343
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $95—Giants $3.3K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $13—Rams $1.0K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $247—Rams $52
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $47K—Lions $2.0K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K—Under $4.2K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $143—Eagles $2.8K
Browns vs. Saints
same side · consensus Saints
Browns $88—Browns $2.4K
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $951—Eagles $1.1K
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $1.6K—Dolphins $3