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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)65% (886–468, n=1354)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)39% (12–19, n=31)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.0M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #145PM monthly #56PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #998
Sides with the consensus73% (33 of 45 open)58% (108 of 187 open)69% (124 of 180 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%37% of 27 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)37% (won 0% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)22% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)19% (won 60% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)22% (won 83% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaRN1wpj
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $59Learner Tien $16K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.5K—
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Franziska Sziedat $213Martyna Kubka $2.4K—
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Alexandre Aubriot $2.5KHenri Haupt $54—
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
—Isabella Shinikova $4Gina Feistel $1.7K—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
—Eric Vanshelboim $663Ignacio Parisca $302—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68No $663—
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Bruno Pujol Navarro $67Iliyan Radulov $612—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $17Ignacio Buse $414—
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Aren Baybars $2Leonid Sheyngezikht $384—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
—Lisa Pigato $46Gaia Maduzzi $56—
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Michael Wright $3Jeremy Gschwendtner $56—
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $12KNo $10K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $29Over $7.8K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
same side · consensus Joanna Garland
—Joanna Garland $1.2KJoanna Garland $3.9K—
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $384Under $4.4K—
Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $279No $3.9K—
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $427Under $1.9K—
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2KYes $458—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Deborah Chiesa $18Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
—Jeline Vandromme $96Jeline Vandromme $679—
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
same side · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $37Pia Lovric $250—