Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (15994–16023, n=32017)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$4.8M$2.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #177PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)54% (83 of 153 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $17No $9.2K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $257Yes $5.1K
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $6Magda Linette $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.7K
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $142No $2.3K
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $24Yes $288
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $204Under $79
Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $141No $60
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3No $5
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $12KNo $26K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34K—Under $2.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Ben Shelton $1.1KBen Shelton $25K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $4—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $150No $8.7K
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $2.6KNo $1.1K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $24Over $2.2K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $162Under $905
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
same side · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
——1. FSV Mainz 05 $8381. FSV Mainz 05 $48
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $22No $513
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
—Over $506Over $5—
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $126Yes $63
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $21No $140
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $18Yes $3