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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Kaczka | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (423–395, n=818) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 50% (19442–19516, n=38958) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $14K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 43% (12 of 28 open) | 64% (30 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 72% of 121) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 88% of 340) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Kaczka | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $941 | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.5K | Yes $5.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.9K | Under $2.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.2K | Yes $47 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.3K | No $3.1K |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.6K | No $3.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $56 | Under $44 |