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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ISMS2222ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)36% (25–44, n=69)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$174K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #127PM monthly #628PM monthly #97PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (20 of 28 open)75% (3 of 4 open)71% (52 of 73 open)55% (39 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −15 pts, n=16NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—44% of 59 at avg 41¢, ROI +7%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—36% (won 33% of 21)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—27% (won 19% of 16)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 65% of 17)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 5)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ISMS2222ndb1RN1
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
Francesco Maestrelli $8.5K——Carlo Alberto Caniato $297
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Leyre Romero Gormaz $2.8K——Julia Riera $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.6K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $1.9K——Hornets $116
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $700——Under $144
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Taylor Fritz $3.4K——Taylor Fritz $2.1K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
Zsombor Piros $3——Zsombor Piros $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $1.4K——Cavaliers $108