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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1plusti
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)55% (17–14, n=31)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M$11K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #111was PM monthly #883
Sides with the consensus75% (36 of 48 open)70% (88 of 126 open)71% (70 of 98 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)27% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)73% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1plusti
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $873——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $28KOver $390——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $20KClippers $7——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $9.8K76ers $933——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus T1
T1 $234——Bilibili Gaming $3.0K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
FK Kharkiv vs. FK Karpaty Lviv: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $514—Under $46
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $2.2K——Bilibili Gaming $4.0K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.0KOver $2.4K——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $140——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $113Under $297——