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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1User1244322
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)54% (425–358, n=783)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M-$765K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #111PM monthly #972
Sides with the consensus63% (31 of 49 open)65% (74 of 114 open)71% (70 of 98 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%91% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 61% of 31)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)15% (won 85% of 67)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)27% (won 88% of 125)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)51% (won 98% of 232)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1User1244322
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $71K——Chargers $4.4K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $873——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $28KOver $390——
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $22KMavericks $402——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $20KClippers $7——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $943Mavericks $487——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $174——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Heat $138Heat $298——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $113Under $297——