Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$3.3M$3.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16PM monthly #7PM monthly #60
Sides with the consensus55% (17 of 31 open)74% (82 of 111 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $386K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $5——T1 $863K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $2.2K——Bilibili Gaming $744K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $13K——Bilibili Gaming $154K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $7.3K—Pelicans $52K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.9KOver $2.6K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $4.9KKeisuke Saitoh $381——