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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677MadridTime
Record (consensus markets)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)43% (10–13, n=23)42% (1943–2665, n=4608)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.2M$77K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #220
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)63% (74 of 117 open)no open consensus position68% (21 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1222 at avg 67¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)28% (won 100% of 345)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 100% of 151)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)50% (won 100% of 616)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677MadridTime
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.2K—Yes $64
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Calvin Hemery
—Lucas Poullain $295—Calvin Hemery $827
Monastir: Toufik Sahtali vs Nikolai Barsukov
opposite sides · consensus Nikolai Barsukov
—Nikolai Barsukov $118—Toufik Sahtali $190
Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $241—Yes $2
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
—Alexander Ritschard $103—Luca Nardi $3
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $81—Yes $10
CD Tecnico Universitario leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $36—Yes $44
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune
—Holger Rune $62—Zizou Bergs $4
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $35—Over $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $326—Over $21
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $197—Over $8
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $87—No $62
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $43—Over $8