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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| errormargin | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 52% (6510–6010, n=12520) | 47% (14126–15613, n=29739) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #795 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (197 of 277 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 56% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 87% of 52) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 95% of 120) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 75) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | Over $1.5K |
| W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Amandine Hesse opposite sides · consensus Amandine Hesse | — | Dalma Galfi $748 | Amandine Hesse $10K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $572 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Brute | — | GenOne $2 | Brute $519 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $14 | Under $181 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Over $28 |
| W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric | — | Pia Lovric $21 | Oriana Gniewkowska $5 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea | — | Sorana Cirstea $28K | Sorana Cirstea $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.2K | Yes $5.5K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | Over $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $261 | Over $664 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $127 | Yes $176 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | Under $42 |