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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boltbisonFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (14–12, n=26)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$19K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #954PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (173 of 246 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 100% of 3)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketboltbisonFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831Yes $61
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $231Felix Gill $192
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Remy Bertola $61Kilian Feldbausch $265
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $11KTommy Paul $31K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
—Magda Linette $5.0KMagda Linette $8.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $849Coleman Wong $5.0K
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
—Kasidit Samrej $3.3KKasidit Samrej $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Melios Efstathiou $222Melios Efstathiou $227
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
same side · consensus Veronika Podrez
—Jessika Ponchet $10Jessika Ponchet $78