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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boltbisonFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (14–12, n=26)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$19K$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #951PM monthly #24PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (170 of 235 open)no open consensus position58% (18 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 100% of 3)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketboltbisonFlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
opposite sides · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Laslo Djere $295—Otto Virtanen $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $447—Tom Gentzsch $29
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
—Robert Guna $83—Robin Bertrand $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Tomas Etcheverry $26—Rinky Hijikata $4
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $11K—Anastasia Zakharova $13K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $3.5K—Sorana Cirstea $3.2K
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $3.3K—Sumit Nagal $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42