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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boltbison | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 52% (6473–6009, n=12482) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $3.6M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (136 of 184 open) | 68% (60 of 88 open) | 49% (30 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boltbison | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $28K | — | Yes $11 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | — | No $9 |
| Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7.1K | — | No $438 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.1K | — | No $104 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will Rubio Nu win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $99 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $886 | — | Under $81 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | — | Diletta Cherubini $279 | — | Ipek Oz $671 |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $790 | — | Yes $16 |
| Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $750 | — | Under $8 |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $318 | — | No $359 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $79 | — | Warriors $505 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $440 | — | Warriors $109 |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $40 | — | No $182 |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $141 | — | Over $69 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $104 | — | Over $18 |
| Will Inter San Carlos win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $76 | — | Yes $23 |
| Clube do Remo leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $25 | — | Yes $2 |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) same side · consensus SE Palmeiras | — | SE Palmeiras $29K | — | SE Palmeiras $14K |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Alice Tubello $15K | — | Alice Tubello $26K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato | — | Marco Cecchinato $4.5K | — | Marco Cecchinato $32K |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter same side · consensus James Kent Trotter | — | James Kent Trotter $1.0K | — | James Kent Trotter $24K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.0K | — | No $145 |
| Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.2K | — | No $179 |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5) same side · consensus SE Palmeiras | — | SE Palmeiras $3.1K | — | SE Palmeiras $665 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | — | Over $411 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Over $761 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $826 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Canucks $13 | — | Canucks $1.2K |
| CS Cartaginés leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $656 | — | No $353 |
| Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $578 | — | Over $216 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Canucks vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | — | Canucks $325 | — | Canucks $354 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $538 | — | Under $35 |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $128 | — | Under $271 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $8 | — | Under $323 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $138 | — | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $174 | — | Warriors $97 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $34 | — | Under $225 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $42 |
| Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $183 | — | Under $29 |