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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL—-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (32 of 49 open)66% (76 of 116 open)72% (71 of 99 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $4.3K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $28KOver $390—
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $22KMavericks $410—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $20KClippers $7—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $8.3KPistons $449—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $943Mavericks $499—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $107—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $185—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Heat $138Heat $298—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $113Under $297—