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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpkinderSmanRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)99% (419–6, n=425)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$161K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #820PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (290 of 434 open)100% (5 of 5 open)63% (179 of 285 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Tech −2 pts, n=29—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 396 at avg 98¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)0%10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)1% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)0%36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)99% (won 100% of 392)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

88 on the same side, 50 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpkinderSmanRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
—Jan-Lennard Struff $10K—Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19K—Yes $162
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—No $9.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.4K—Tomas Machac $2.3K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.1K—Over $3.1K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.9K—No $77
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.4K—Yes $3.0K
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
—Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K—Olympiakós SFP $3
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Over $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5K—Under $1.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—Yes $1.3K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.3K—Yes $35
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9K—No $182
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2K—No $734
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Under $29
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $1.8K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $362—Under $1.2K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $245—Over $990
Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $26—Over $685
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Hawks $426
PSV leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $554—Yes $88
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
Will Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $155—Yes $322
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $351—Yes $106
Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $338—No $41
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $338—No $25
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $103—Under $169
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $216—Marie Weckerle $43
Will Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $204—Yes $29
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $81—No $103
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $140—No $27
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $31—Wizards $89
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $87—Under $2
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25—Under $2
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $23