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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Haradwaithndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)40% (3392–5151, n=8543)63% (987–572, n=1559)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)
Consensus PnL-$465K$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #281PM monthly #103PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus69% (630 of 911 open)75% (101 of 135 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicWeather −6 pts, n=556NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢53% (won 3% of 2055)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 35% of 170)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 54% of 178)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 1442)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHaradwaithndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $361No $335K—
Will RB Leipzig reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $48No $134—
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $138Yes $28—
Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $79No $45—
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $114Yes $1—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $62No $40—
Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25Yes $68—
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $4—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1KNo $81K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $782Yes $64K—
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $4.6KNo $53K—
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
No $677No $26K—
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $68No $4.1K—
Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $89Yes $2.6K—
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $87No $2.5K—
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $81Yes $1.9K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $68Yes $539—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $360No $133—
Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $255Yes $156—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
Yes $289Yes $29—
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $85No $173—
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
same side · consensus Yes
No $161No $12—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $15No $141—
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?
same side · consensus No
No $72No $25—
Will Justin Jefferson have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13Yes $81—
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
same side · consensus No
No $57No $21—
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
Yes $57Yes $10—