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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 39% (3338–5182, n=8520) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$469K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #259 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 73% (555 of 757 open) | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 59% (10 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=584 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 4% (won 33% of 170) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 4% (won 48% of 166) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.