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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1txwd9991
Record (consensus markets)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)65% (876–462, n=1338)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)90% (136–15, n=151)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M-$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #11PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #994
Sides with the consensus69% (119 of 173 open)79% (19 of 24 open)43% (12 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +50 pts n=113, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=22, ROI +45%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%96% of 144 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)63% (won 95% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)36% (won 98% of 52)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)1% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1txwd9991
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $941—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $927—Over $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $7—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—No $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $45—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.9K—No $1.6K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115—No $3.3K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $44—No $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102—Under $1.1K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379—No $662—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
Yujia Huang $43—Yujia Huang $269—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117—Yes $162—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
Yuzuha Negishi $169—Yuzuha Negishi $105—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—