Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpmostlywrongRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6459–6048, n=12507)0% (0–5, n=5)48% (14204–15692, n=29896)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$32K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #723PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (166 of 234 open)100% (4 of 4 open)61% (42 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)—10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)—22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)—35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)—33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpmostlywrongRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529
Spread: Raptors (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $790—Raptors $22
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Platense: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $318—Under $476
EC Vitória vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $105—Over $424
Operário Ferroviário EC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $285—Yes $79
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $12
Operário Ferroviário EC vs. SC Recife: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $169—Under $4
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Platense: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $18—No $108
EC Vitória vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17K—Under $6.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $2.6K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $4.8K
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $2.1K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $1.7K—Thiago Seyboth Wild $913
CA Unión vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.4K—Over $789
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1K
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $752—No $16
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $349—Kings $108
SC Recife leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $179—No $264
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $289—Hornets $7
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $177—Grizzlies $99
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $108—Over $149
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $46—Yes $192
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42
CA Independiente vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $23—Over $151
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1—Over $124
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $3—Kings $14