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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | mostlywrong | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 62% (55–34, n=89) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $31K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #705 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (241 of 348 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 60% (101 of 168 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
61 on the same side, 53 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | mostlywrong | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | — | SMU $32K | Virginia Tech $4.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | Nevada $7.4K | New Mexico $2.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $3.7K | — | — | 76ers $829 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.1K | Illinois $807 |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.8K | Under $803 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | Nevada $1.3K | New Mexico $1.2K |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $508 | Over $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | — | — | No $8 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $6 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $757 | — | — | Thunder $958 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | — | Under $37 |
| Spread: Bucks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $845 | — | — | Raptors $612 |
| Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $69 |
| CA Tigre vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $50 |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | — | South Florida $324 | East Carolina $903 |
| Spread: Raptors (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.1K | — | — | Raptors $15 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $646 | — | — | Over $338 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $909 | — | — | Over $1 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $350 | — | — | Thunder $492 |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $416 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $729 | — | — | Under $51 |
| Spread: Thunder (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $391 | — | — | Thunder $336 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $718 | — | — | Under $6 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $697 | — | — | Under $1 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $316 | — | — | Under $311 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | 76ers $45 | — | — | Cavaliers $482 |
| Spread: Bucks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $74 | — | — | Raptors $422 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Mavericks $283 | — | — | Jazz $203 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | 76ers $247 | — | — | Cavaliers $209 |
| Will CA Banfield vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $214 | — | — | Yes $195 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Illinois $91 | Nebraska $308 |
| Portland Pilots vs. UT Arlington Mavericks opposite sides · consensus Portland Pilots | Portland Pilots $239 | — | — | UT Arlington Mavericks $114 |
| Spread: Bucks (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $119 | — | — | Raptors $233 |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | — | Virginia Tech $189 | SMU $112 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $240 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern Wildcats | Northwestern Wildcats $7 | — | — | Stony Brook Seawolves $136 |
| Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams | Idaho Vandals $82 | — | — | Colorado State Rams $52 |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Florida | East Carolina $81 | — | South Florida $39 | — |
| Spread: Flames (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ducks | Flames $116 | — | — | Ducks $3 |
| Spread: Raptors (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Raptors $68 | — | — | Bucks $43 |