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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | mostlywrong | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 62% (55–34, n=89) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $31K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #705 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 70% (240 of 345 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 61% (102 of 168 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
57 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | mostlywrong | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | Grizzlies $742 | — | Thunder $958 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | Grizzlies $350 | — | Thunder $492 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | Raptors $61 | — | Raptors $149 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $148K | Thunder $13K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $3.7K | — | 76ers $829 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.8K | — | No $8 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.4K | — | Under $37 |
| Spread: Bucks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $832 | — | Raptors $612 |
| Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $69 |
| CA Tigre vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $50 |
| Spread: Raptors (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $1.1K | — | Raptors $15 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $704 | — | Over $338 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $868 | — | Over $1 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $729 | — | Under $51 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $744 | — | Under $6 |
| Spread: Thunder (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Grizzlies $391 | — | Thunder $336 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $700 | — | Under $1 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $270 | — | Under $311 |
| Atlético San Luis vs. FC Juárez: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $376 | — | Under $202 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | 76ers $45 | — | Cavaliers $482 |
| Spread: Bucks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Bucks $74 | — | Raptors $422 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Mavericks $283 | — | Jazz $203 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $234 | — | Cavaliers $209 |
| Will CA Banfield vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $214 | — | Yes $195 |
| Spread: Bucks (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Bucks $123 | — | Raptors $233 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $300 | — | Over $7 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern Wildcats | — | Northwestern Wildcats $7 | — | Stony Brook Seawolves $136 |
| Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams | — | Idaho Vandals $82 | — | Colorado State Rams $52 |
| Spread: Flames (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ducks | — | Flames $116 | — | Ducks $3 |
| Spread: Raptors (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Raptors $68 | — | Bucks $43 |
| Spread: Raptors (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $24 | — | Raptors $73 |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | 76ers $57 | — | Cavaliers $14 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $14 | — | Pelicans $30 |
| Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $19K | — | No $4.1K |
| Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $20K | — | No $2.0K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.6K |
| Will CA Banfield win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | — | No $2.2K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $2.7K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.5K |
| Will CA Tigre win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $8.1K | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies same side · consensus Connecticut Huskies | — | Connecticut Huskies $8.0K | — | Connecticut Huskies $1.5K |
| Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.6K | — | No $2.4K |
| CA Tigre vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | — | Over $750 |