← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | mostlywrong | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 62% (55–34, n=89) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $31K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #704 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (228 of 323 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 71% (55 of 77 open) | 61% (90 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | mostlywrong | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $3.8K | — | — | Pelicans $104 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.6K | — | — | Over $9 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.9K | — | — | Over $259 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.3K | — | — | Under $559 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $2.2K | — | — | Pelicans $47 |
| Spread: Bucks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.1K | — | — | Raptors $966 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Bucks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $1.6K | — | — | Bucks $85 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | — | — | Under $51 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $1.3K | — | — | Pelicans $86 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Mavericks $947 | — | — | Jazz $248 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $86 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Raptors (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.1K | — | — | Raptors $15 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $986 | — | — | Jazz $1 |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $683 | — | — | Raptors $230 |
| Spread: Thunder (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $750 | — | — | Thunder $4 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $303 | — | — | Over $262 |
| Spread: Raptors (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Raptors $39 | — | — | Bucks $458 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $141 | — | — | Under $257 |
| Spread: Raptors (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Raptors $74 | — | — | Bucks $232 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Kansas City Roos: O/U 145.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $15 | — | — | Over $183 |
| Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams | Idaho Vandals $82 | — | — | Colorado State Rams $62 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $96 | — | — | Under $9 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $2.7K | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.5K |
| Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies same side · consensus Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies $8.1K | — | — | Connecticut Huskies $1.5K |
| Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | — | No $4.4K |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.4K | — | — | Under $6.0K |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $4.3K | — | — | Thunder $672 |
| Spread: Thunder (-21.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Thunder $2.5K | — | — | Thunder $373 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Under $256 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $2.6K | — | — | Timberwolves $220 |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $2.5K | — | — | Thunder $265 |
| Spread: Bucks (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $2.0K | — | — | Raptors $422 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.8K | — | — | Under $467 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $1.9K | — | — | Mavericks $124 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | — | Under $443 |
| Spread: Bucks (-2.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $1.2K | — | — | Raptors $668 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | — | Under $231 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $1.2K | — | — | Raptors $473 |
| Ducks vs. Flames same side · consensus Flames | Ducks $67 | — | — | Ducks $1.6K |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.4K | — | — | Over $245 |