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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677laidaodaoRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)45% (10–12, n=22)67% (30–15, n=45)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$1.3K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #141PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (178 of 250 open)no open consensus position100% (8 of 8 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%73% of 37 at avg 71¢, ROI −1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 0% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)5% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)70% (won 92% of 26)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677laidaodaoRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754——Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831——Yes $61
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
Buvaysar Gadamauri $231——Felix Gill $190
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $42——Kilian Feldbausch $259
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
opposite sides · consensus Veronika Podrez
Veronika Podrez $17——Jessika Ponchet $78
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $12K——Tommy Paul $32K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $5.0K——Magda Linette $8.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $853——Coleman Wong $5.0K
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
Kasidit Samrej $3.3K——Kasidit Samrej $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
Melios Efstathiou $222——Melios Efstathiou $304
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116——Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $42