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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1scrapbook
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)53% (157–141, n=298)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M-$7.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus76% (181 of 239 open)no open consensus position52% (34 of 65 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Economy −8 pts, n=32
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%47% of 334 at avg 41¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)38% (won 13% of 127)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)19% (won 48% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)27% (won 66% of 91)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)16% (won 91% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1scrapbook
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7K—Yes $3.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $4.3K—Taylor Fritz $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $3.8K—Max Hans Rehberg $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $268—Ipek Oz $680—
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $348—Under $81—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $222—Hornets $116—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188—Cavaliers $108—
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3—Juan Carlos Prado $268—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12—
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig $8—FC Energie Cottbus $21—
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $19K—No $22K—
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9K—No $15K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Over $5.9K—
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $953—No $6.5K—
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $2.5K—
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $1.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $947—No $814—
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $383—Over $1.2K—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $90—Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K—
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Under $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $64—Julia Riera $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $690—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $357—Kings $110—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
Carlo Alberto Caniato $19—Carlo Alberto Caniato $297—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $175—Under $2—