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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpheyjasonprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)86% (6–1, n=7)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$33K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #726PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (222 of 317 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (26 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 5 at avg 79¢, ROI +19%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0%41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)20% (won 100% of 1)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)80% (won 100% of 4)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpheyjasonprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
GenOne $2——Brute $833
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $18——Ivan Gakhov $207
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen $39——Lisa Pigato $104
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.2K——Under $8.6K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K——Yes $5.4K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.9K——Over $3.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $2.2K——Nuno Borges $4.6K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $769——Yes $3.4K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $98——Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Over $1.9K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $270——Over $686
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $127——Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $42