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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphaveanedge.xyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)71% (2084–849, n=2933)no settled market55% (392–321, n=713)61% (48–31, n=79)
Consensus PnL$384K$0$426K$659K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #722PM monthly #103PM monthly #16 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (93 of 170 open)no open consensus position44% (30 of 68 open)44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
  • NBA +46 pts n=40, ROI +43%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—14% (won 37% of 79)4% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—24% (won 59% of 138)34% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—43% (won 72% of 243)44% (won 100% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—19% (won 98% of 107)18% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveanedge.xyznigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.9K—Yes $364—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6K—Yes $1.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $886—Yes $374—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $108—Under $76—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $110—Over $11—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
——Team Falcons $995Team Falcons $211K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $243Gen.G $44K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $5—Georgia State $512—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $388—Heat $46—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3—
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $3—