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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1Vanchalkenstein
Record (consensus markets)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)48% (14365–15875, n=30240)53% (285–250, n=535)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$14.8M-$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #586
Sides with the consensus72% (199 of 276 open)52% (15 of 29 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NBA −2 pts, n=128
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%54% of 590 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)10% (won 24% of 58)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)47% (won 51% of 276)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)33% (won 59% of 192)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)11% (won 77% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1Vanchalkenstein
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $541No $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475Under $1.3K—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $60Over $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471No $524—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272No $11—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20KNo $11K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.6K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $2.6KBianca Andreescu $8.3K—
W35 Liberec: Lea Boskovic vs Weronika Ewald
same side · consensus Lea Boskovic
Weronika Ewald $2.3KWeronika Ewald $1.8K—
Will PSM Makassar win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $1.2K—
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $1.3K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177Under $41—
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $46Under $4—