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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) | 53% (285–250, n=535) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | $14.8M | -$1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #585 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 74% (234 of 316 open) | 58% (90 of 156 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NBA −3 pts, n=123 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 54% of 580 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 10% (won 24% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 47% (won 51% of 271) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 32% (won 60% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 11% (won 77% of 64) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
61 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | Vanchalkenstein |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $29K | No $11K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | Olympique de Marseille $6.7K | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.6K | Under $549 | — |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.0K | Yes $176 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | Under $18 | — |
| SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.4K | Under $1.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.0K | No $454 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.0K | No $353 | — |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.5K | No $803 | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $520 | — |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | Yes $12 | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $746 | Yes $1.2K | — |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | — | FC Lugano $1.9K | FK Kauno Žalgiris $2 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $44 | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | Yes $120 | — |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $853 | Yes $677 | — |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $6 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $10 | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $645 | Over $675 | — |
| Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | Yes $1 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $673 | Yes $174 | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $600 | No $27 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | — | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551 | Jesse Flores $16 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $417 | Warriors $119 | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $82 | Yes $377 | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $358 | Over $67 | — |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | Ivan Gakhov $238 | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $189 | Over $25 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova | — | Maria Sholokhova $5 | Victoria Rodriguez $173 | — |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | Anna Siskova $60 | Isis Louise Van den Broek $72 | — |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $31 | Under $33 | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | No $42 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Over $29 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $49K | No $27K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $47K | No $20K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $41K | Yes $18K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud same side · consensus Casper Ruud | — | Casper Ruud $29K | Casper Ruud $6.6K | — |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $21K | No $10K | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Under $18K | — |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $9.9K | Over $12K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $2.3K | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.0K | Under $6.6K | — |