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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMTDRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)71% (200–82, n=282)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$69K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #700PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (232 of 345 open)33% (1 of 3 open)55% (118 of 215 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22MLB −2 pts, n=56—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%71% of 266 at avg 73¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)14% (won 8% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)8% (won 33% of 21)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)10% (won 48% of 27)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)68% (won 92% of 182)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMTDRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $60—Central Michigan $12K
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $4.0K—Celtics $485
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301—No $2.4K
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.5K—Under $230
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $2.2K—Celtics $3
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $2.1K—Hornets $40
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3K—Bucks $765
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274—Under $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.6K—Bucks $57
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.4K—Knicks $158
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $23
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Over $57
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $138
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Senators $61—Sabres $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $988—Bulls $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $742—Grizzlies $123
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $690—Under $87
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $664—Under $8
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 207.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $646—Under $22
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $488—Pacers $180
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $105—Over $535
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $555—Bulls $16
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $464—Under $106
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $330—Over $235
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $414—Over $46
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $429—Over $6
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $109—Thunder $270
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $303—Pistons $49
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $207—Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $278
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $151—Over $85
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $99
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $48—Under $169
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $147—Over $1
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $100—Over $2
Spread: Pistons (-21.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $32—Pistons $63
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $32—Under $13
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.0K—Over $75
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $5.3K—76ers $370
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $3.5K—Bucks $15
Senators vs. Sabres
same side · consensus Sabres
Sabres $1.1K—Sabres $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.7K—76ers $220
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.0K—Knicks $675
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 186.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Over $71