Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FatsLivesMatterFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #944PM monthly #10PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #71
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (108 of 169 open)67% (35 of 52 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFatsLivesMatterFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Magic $3.0KWarriors $770—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $76—
Red Wings vs. Avalanche
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
—Red Wings $44Avalanche $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326—
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $921Over $159—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Trail Blazers $10Spurs $126—
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $23KNo $7.6K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Utah State
—Utah State $4Utah State $13K—
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KUnder $222—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $470Hawai'i $561—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—