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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (240–149, n=389) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | $197K | -$8.8M | $3.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #212 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 69% (50 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (8 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 283 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 50% of 28) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 97% of 155) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Raiders $2.8K | — | 49ers $90K |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Patriots $3.9K | — | Packers $87K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $84K | — | Cardinals $5.5K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Seahawks $2.8K | — | Cardinals $2.1K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Chargers $2 | — | Texans $2.7K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $2.2K | — | Cardinals $85 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $149 | — | Cardinals $737 |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Texans $68K | — | Texans $11K |
| Texans vs. Chargers same side · consensus Texans | — | Texans $55K | — | Texans $1.7K |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3.2K | — | Under $270 |