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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daarayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15597–15691, n=31288)53% (2492–2230, n=4722)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$3.1M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #140was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position57% (77 of 134 open)61% (34 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)2% (won 96% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)32% (won 98% of 333)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)51% (won 98% of 527)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)14% (won 97% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daarayvanmechelen
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.6KOver $6
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $169—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KOver $9
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3No $378
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $358No $9
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Karine Silva
——Karine Silva $335Gabriella Fernandes $9
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $204Over $10
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Elijah Smith
——Elijah Smith $179Davey Grant $9
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $154No $10
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Murtazali Magomedov
——Murtazali Magomedov $48Jose Delano $2
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3No $10
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K—Yes $131—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18K—Yes $258—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.3KNo $10
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K—Yes $60—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Lucas Fernando
——Lucas Fernando $436Lucas Fernando $11
UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Marcos Degli
——Marcos Degli $190Marcos Degli $20
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Braden Shick
same side · consensus Stefan Kozlov
——Stefan Kozlov $141Stefan Kozlov $10
Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $63No $11
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $39No $10
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Oriol Roca Batalla
——Oriol Roca Batalla $38Oriol Roca Batalla $10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $15No $4