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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJamesAltucher
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)69% (99–45, n=144)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M-$274
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9was PM monthly #531
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)66% (42 of 64 open)69% (96 of 139 open)100% (5 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Elections −1 pts, n=101
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%38% of 228 at avg 36¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)56% (won 3% of 128)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 43% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)8% (won 78% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)30% (won 91% of 68)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJamesAltucher
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $87KCardinals $121—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $6.3K—
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $22KMavericks $402—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19KOver $390—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $8.2KPistons $367—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.4KOver $116—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Kings $4.8KHeat $298—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $943Mavericks $499—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.7KUnder $629—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Chargers $2.4KChargers $2——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $115Under $297—