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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)58% (1072–790, n=1862)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$90K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #728PM monthly #47PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (13 of 23 open)67% (4 of 6 open)56% (87 of 155 open)60% (109 of 183 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 12% of 428)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 37% of 155)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)14% (won 75% of 214)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)47% (won 97% of 694)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclaudionetotraderomnibus-076daaRN1
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66—Wizards $331Hawks $128
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10KYes $249Yes $5.3K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $114No $6.1K
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $3.9KHawks $678
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $132Over $1.3K—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
——Maxwell McKennon $210Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $740Solana Sierra $476
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $153—
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $185—No $917
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $677
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $30Over $375
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $217—Pelicans $4—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $124
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Tomas Barrios $56Tomas Barrios $16K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
——Nishesh Basavareddy $896Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
——Carlos Maria Zarate $21Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $23Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $516—Yes $29—
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $271Hornets $129
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $27Under $147
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $4Pelicans $121
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
same side · consensus CR Flamengo
——Grêmio FBPA $3Grêmio FBPA $89
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 1 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $76
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—